PORTO VS JUVENTUS: PREDICTIONS
One of the continent’s biggest clubs, Juventus won their second Champions League/European Cup in 1996, beating Ajax on penalties. However, they have not managed to add to that success, despite reaching five finals since (including in 1997 and 1998).
The Champions League has been their biggest aim over the past decade, with the domination of Italy secured, but this season the Bianconeri are in danger of losing their monopoly on Serie A, eight points behind leaders Inter Milan. So, instead, it may be time for them to put all their eggs in the Champions League basket, getting a favourable draw for finishing above Barcelona in their group thanks to a final-day win over the Blaugrana.
Porto won’t be a walkover, however, doing well in the Champions League group stage, dropping just four points (all to Man City) to finish second behind the English side. It’s form they have carried over to domestic football, with Man City just one of four teams to beat Porto across all competitions this season.
Three of those defeats came in October and in the 26 games since, Porto have won an impressive 19 times, drawing six and only losing to Sporting CP in the Portuguese League Cup semi-finals in mid-January. However, they go into this game in underwhelming form, drawing their past four games across all competitions including one against relegation-fighting Boavista at the weekend.
PORTO VS JUVENTUS: BETTING TIPS
Juventus to win and over 2.5 goals scored @ 13/2 with Coral
Alvaro Morata to score anytime @ 23/10 with Sky Bet
Scoreline prediction: Porto 1-2 Juventus
PORTO VS JUVENTUS: MATCH STATS
- Porto have never beaten Juventus in five previous encounters in European competition (D1 L4). In fact, Liverpool are the only other club they have faced on more occasions without ever winning (8 matches).
- Porto and Juventus’ only previous encounter in the UEFA Champions League knockout stages was in the round of 16 back in 2016/17. The Turin side won 3-0 on aggregate but in both matches, it was goalless before Porto had a player sent off, each time in the first-half.
- Juventus are the only team, alongside Zenit St Petersburg, to have faced Porto at least twice away from home in European competition without ever conceding a goal.
- Juventus have reached the knockout stages of the UEFA Champions League for the seventh consecutive season, their longest streak in the competition. Meanwhile, this will be Porto’s fourth appearance in the k/o stages in the last five seasons.
- Porto are the only team yet to concede a goal at home in this season’s UEFA Champions League. They have also kept a clean sheet in each of their last five Champions League games, their longest ever run of matches without conceding a goal in the competition. Man City’s Ferran Torres was the last player to score past Agustín Marchesín, on 21 October.
- Porto have won only one of their last nine games in the knockout stages of the UEFA Champions League, a 3-1 home victory against Roma in March 2019 (D1 L7).
- Juventus have won 11 of their last 13 games in the UEFA Champions League (L2). They are also one of only four teams to win all three of their away games in this season’s group stages, alongside Atalanta, Barcelona and Chelsea.
- Porto goalkeeper Agustín Marchesín has saved the last 12 shots on target he’s faced in the UEFA Champions League, with those 12 shots totalling an Expected Goals of 3.6.
- Porto were Cristiano Ronaldo’s first ever opponents in the knockout stages of the UEFA Champions League, 17 years ago – it was in the round of 16 of the 2003/04 campaign. He last faced Porto when he was wearing Manchester Utd colours, in April 2009, scoring the only goal of the game at the Dragão and taking Man Utd through to the semis (3-2 agg.).
- Since – and including – his first UEFA Champions League final with Manchester Utd in 2008, Cristiano Ronaldo has scored 62 goals in 66 matches in the knockout stages of the competition.
- Juventus’ Juan Cuadrado delivered more assists (5) than any other player in this season’s UEFA Champions League group stages – in fact, he’s provided as many assists over his last five games as he did over his previous 38 games in the competition.
Although Porto have been strong in the Champions League this season, they do not have a good record in knockout football. The Portuguese side have won just one of their last nine knockout stage matches in the Champions League, and face a Juventus side that scored at least three goals in three of their group stage games this season.
His past few seasons haven’t been good but Alvaro Morata looks to have finally found a home in Juventus, at least when it comes to the Champions League. The Spaniard has scored six goals in six Champions League appearances this season, only failing to score twice (in both games against Barcelona), just one fewer than he has managed in 21 across all other competitions.